“Opportunities have no boundaries,” says Donald Trump. And the billionaire property mogul should know: with new office and residential projects underway in countries as diverse as India, Brazil and Georgia, it is an exciting time to diversify, he told the Financial Times. “We’ve been expanding internationally for some time now . . . There are a lot of opportunities and many good reasons to do so.”
But while Trump is known for having made both his first and his second fortunes in real estate, he is increasingly joined by an emerging class of private investors, many of whom struck it rich elsewhere. Amancio Ortega Gaona, the world’s fourth-richest man and founder of the high street Zara chain, has built up a property portfolio that could be worth more than $6.1bn, according to Bloomberg. Ortega’s holding company, Ponte Gadea (also known as Pontegadea Inversiones), recently snapped up Devonshire House in London for £400m, as well as a property in New York’s Meatpacking District for a total of $94m.
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Spain and Italy have long been destinations for fair weather and fine food, but the two markets recently have been targeted by international capital for a very different type of feast. PERE Magazine, October 2014 issue
After a prolonged dry spell in the wake of the global financial crisis, Europe has come back onto the real estate investment scene with a vengeance. In fact, the turnaround in the Continent’s fortunes is so complete that two markets in southern Europe, once thought of as far too risky, recently have emerged as hot destinations to park capital, particularly for real estate debt investors.
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Over the past seven years, the global institutional investment market has proved an uncomfortable place for a property valuer. Not to place too fine a point on it, the journey has been a roller coaster ride.
As shown in figure 1, the market’s 2007-14 profile began with a steep tumble into the 2009 abyss of underperforming loans. Asset values melted like spring snows and, with them, credit lines and transaction activity. For the next two years, valuers felt deprived of any meaningful market evidence.
Predictably, two years later the slide began its reverse. Global investment volumes for properties worth more than $5m (€3.8m) began a sustained recovery on a quarterly, year-on-year. Records now show that in 13 of the past 16 quarters, investment volumes have been in positive territory.
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Spanish residential mortgages rose 29 percent in July from a year earlier, the most since March 2006, as economic growth made homebuyers more confident.
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Europe’s commercial real estate sector stands to benefit from increased allocations from pension funds. That was the main message from this year’s annual EPRA conference, held in London this week.
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Europe’s listed real estate sector is tipped to boost its share of the industry’s global market capitalisation.
At its annual conference in London today, the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) said Europe’s share of the market capitalisation of the global REIT market could rise to 18% by the end of next year, from just under 16% – or €145bn – at present.
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Spain's ghost towns and half-finished developments could finally start to see life, as falling prices in the country's embattled real estate sector begin to signal the end of a seven-year slump, says ratings agency Fitch.
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This year may well go down in history as the one in which Spain’s recovering commercial real estate sector finally threw its arms around the REIT. After just under half a decade of wrangling, Spanish REITs, or SOCIMIs (sociedades cotizadas de inversión en el mercado inmobiliario) are now a reality.
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Spain’s improving economy won’t immediately lead to a “sustainable” rise in house prices as oversupply, high unemployment and a dwindling population mean demand will remain weak for the next few years, Moody’s Investors Service Inc. said
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Italy’s steps to transform its real estate investment trust industry mirror changes made by Spain that helped attract foreign investors including Bill Gross and George Soros.
The Italian changes include lifting the maximum stake a single investor can hold in a REIT, known as a SIIQ in Italy, to 60 percent from 51 percent, according to a decree published in the state bulletin on Sept. 12. It also reduces the amount of recurring rental income the company must distribute to investors to 70 percent from 85 percent.
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Spain: It is getting increasingly difficult to find good deals in size, with so many funds looking for discounted property. While Socimis (=Spanish REITs) don't pay tax on a corporate level, please note that you still owe dividend tax as a shareholder.
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Average Spanish property yield now more than twice than what the Spanish government bond pays. And those are average numbers!
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The latest RICS Global Commercial Property Monitor shows how Spain, Portugal and Ireland, some of the economies most affected by the 2008 crisis, are now experiencing a very positive turnaround in sentiment, in both the occupier and investment commercial property markets.
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Spanish home prices rose in the second quarter for the first time since 2008, adding to signs that the property market is stabilizing more than six years after triggering the worst recession in the country’s democratic history.
Prices rose 0.8 percent from a year earlier, the first annual gain since the first quarter of 2008, according to data compiled by the National Statistics Institute. Values climbed 1.7 percent from the previous quarter, the Madrid-based Statistics Institute said.
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The head of consumer-product marketing at Google Inc. and a former general counsel for a travel website are seeking to transform the mortgage-finance industry. Michael Burry, the hedge-fund manager who foresaw the housing market’s nosedive, is betting they can.
Brett Crosby left his post at Google last week to join Brew Johnson, once a lawyer for a company acquired by TripAdvisor Inc., to start PeerStreet Inc., a Los Angeles-based online platform for financing real estate through a form of crowdfunding. They’re partnering with small, non-bank lenders whose short-term commercial-property loans they can fund using a throng of individual investors.
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Investment in non-residential property in Europe’s nine biggest markets jumped 28 per cent in the year ended in June, led by a 126 per cent increase in Madrid.
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Buoyed by attractive yields, Asian investors are lapping up properties in overseas markets, with investments surpassing previous years’ records.
The first half of 2014 saw $16.2 billion worth of outbound real estate investment from Asia – a 40 percent increase over the same period last year – according to data released by the global property services firm CBRE. Singapore has overtaken China as the most active source of cross-border investment onthe continent, followed by Hong Kong and the Chinese mainland occupying the third spot.
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Here’s a grim forecast to consider: It may be 2021 before you make any money on investment-grade bonds again.
Morgan Stanley Wealth Management’s Jonathan Mackay predicts the securities will post annual returns of between 1 percent and 2 percent for the next seven years -- which means you’ll lose money after accounting for inflation. That’s a big shift considering the debt gained 8.7 percent annually on average in the 30 years through 2012.
Investors should “have a lower average allocation to bonds than you would have in the previous cycle because they just don’t provide the income and return,” said Mackay, senior market strategist at Morgan Stanley’s $2 trillion wealth management unit. While central-bank stimulus is supporting bond values, “the collateral damage is going to be lower portfolio returns.”
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Norges Bank Investment Management, which manages the world’s biggest sovereign wealth fund, bought a portfolio of real estate in Madrid and Barcelona through a joint venture with Prologis Inc.
Prologis European Logistics Partners Sarl bought more than 1.6 million square feet of logistics facilities and development land in the two Spanish cities from SABA Parques Logisticos, Prologis said in a statement today.
“Demand for logistics infrastructure in Spain is rising while construction of new facilities is at an historic low,” Philip Dunne, president of Prologis Europe, said in the statement. “We are pleased to acquire this well-located portfolio at a discount to replacement costs.”
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Marcelino Calvo Sanchez and his wife, Maria Luisa, had never heard of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. until last year, when the global investment bank bought the four-building housing estate where they live in Vallecas, on the southern outskirts of Madrid. Marcelino, a 71-year-old retired truck driver, isn’t impressed by his new landlord.
Goldman Sachs picked up the 289-unit complex in August 2013 as part of its purchase of 3,000 low-income apartments from the regional government of Madrid for 201 million euros ($269 million). With the sale, some subsidies for tenants disappeared, and, according to Sanchez, a small problem with squatters has become a larger one.
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